Taiwan's Republic of China Air Force might survive just a few hours if China makes good on decades of threats to invade the island state—but that could be enough time for the U.S. to intervene
They survived in part due to massive aid shipments and insane bravery by the locals.
Taiwan will have to face the wrath of the mainlanders alone. Given the overlapping layers of ballistic, airborne, seaborne, subsea, etc. prongs that the mainlanders have built, there is little hope of approaching Taiwan and delivering meaningful quantities of arms.
Escaping to Korea, japan, and the Philippines may be the only way to preserve precious air assets. But will any neighbors be willing to go to war with china by getting involved?
All of Nvidia’s AI chips. AI supremacy will decide the future control of the world’s economy and military power. China already controls the processing of lithium and other rare earth elements required for advanced electronics, magnets, batteries and needed for everything from automobiles to critical infrastructure systems to advanced military hardware. It would take an utter moron not to understand if China takes over Taiwan, the U.S and the rest of Western democracies become subservient to China’s whims. That is know as “soft power”, and China has shown time and again it will wield it to obtain advantage. Japan understands this, perhaps more than the current U.S. administration. Although the U.S. military and major corporations are critically aware of the risk of allowing China to taken over Taiwan.
If left with no other choice, the U.S. would have to totally destroy Taiwan’s capability to keep producing its advanced chipsets. And I would not be in the least surprised that such contingency plans are already drawn by both the Pentagon and CIA. After destroying the only valuable aspect of Taiwan, the U.S. and its allies could blockade and put an import and export embargo on China; killing its economy by “death of a thousand cuts”. Denying China the critical raw materials and energy it needs, forcing its navy to venture further from its territory to try to open up choke points established to deny maritime access to its ports. That will expose its navy to the USAF and USN arsenal of aircraft capable of raining hell upon them. The decimation would be swift and effective, defanging the Chinese dragon. That’s how I’d play it. Not fighting using China’s advantage, but our own.
Destroying U.S. infrastructure using its cyber warriors is already in the Chinese playbook. We have found hidden implanted communication bugs in Chinese products used in our critical infrastructure already. Our electrical grid, hydroelectric dams, water systems, energy plants and transportation systems already have been breached by cyber warfare conducted by China against the U.S., Japan and other allies. Make no mistake, China is preparing for a destructive asymmetric war absent of nuclear weapons hoping they can avoid being thrown into the Stone Age by a nuclear escalation that decimates their future by destroying their industrial infrastructure and collapsing their economy—which would be an end to the CCP.
Yes and the Ukrainian army was supposed to last only 3 days. Don't underestimate a determined resistance fighting for survival.
They survived in part due to massive aid shipments and insane bravery by the locals.
Taiwan will have to face the wrath of the mainlanders alone. Given the overlapping layers of ballistic, airborne, seaborne, subsea, etc. prongs that the mainlanders have built, there is little hope of approaching Taiwan and delivering meaningful quantities of arms.
Escaping to Korea, japan, and the Philippines may be the only way to preserve precious air assets. But will any neighbors be willing to go to war with china by getting involved?
All of Nvidia’s AI chips. AI supremacy will decide the future control of the world’s economy and military power. China already controls the processing of lithium and other rare earth elements required for advanced electronics, magnets, batteries and needed for everything from automobiles to critical infrastructure systems to advanced military hardware. It would take an utter moron not to understand if China takes over Taiwan, the U.S and the rest of Western democracies become subservient to China’s whims. That is know as “soft power”, and China has shown time and again it will wield it to obtain advantage. Japan understands this, perhaps more than the current U.S. administration. Although the U.S. military and major corporations are critically aware of the risk of allowing China to taken over Taiwan.
If left with no other choice, the U.S. would have to totally destroy Taiwan’s capability to keep producing its advanced chipsets. And I would not be in the least surprised that such contingency plans are already drawn by both the Pentagon and CIA. After destroying the only valuable aspect of Taiwan, the U.S. and its allies could blockade and put an import and export embargo on China; killing its economy by “death of a thousand cuts”. Denying China the critical raw materials and energy it needs, forcing its navy to venture further from its territory to try to open up choke points established to deny maritime access to its ports. That will expose its navy to the USAF and USN arsenal of aircraft capable of raining hell upon them. The decimation would be swift and effective, defanging the Chinese dragon. That’s how I’d play it. Not fighting using China’s advantage, but our own.
Destroying U.S. infrastructure using its cyber warriors is already in the Chinese playbook. We have found hidden implanted communication bugs in Chinese products used in our critical infrastructure already. Our electrical grid, hydroelectric dams, water systems, energy plants and transportation systems already have been breached by cyber warfare conducted by China against the U.S., Japan and other allies. Make no mistake, China is preparing for a destructive asymmetric war absent of nuclear weapons hoping they can avoid being thrown into the Stone Age by a nuclear escalation that decimates their future by destroying their industrial infrastructure and collapsing their economy—which would be an end to the CCP.
Taiwan produces the overwhelming majority of advanced chipsets used
Face it - if China attacked Taiwan, Trump would say, “I’ll give it two weeks, then China will suffer hell.”
The US under Trump WILL NOT intervene.