The Russian Salient North Of Pokrovsk May Have Been An Elaborate Diversion
Marching through porous Ukrainian defenses toward Dobropillia, the Russians drew away Ukraine's reserves
The Russian salient north of Pokrovsk may have been an elaborate diversion
Marching through porous Ukrainian defenses toward Dobropillia, the Russians threatened Ukrainian logistics
The march may have had another purpose: to draw Ukrainian reinforcements away from Pokrovsk
The yearlong siege of Pokrovsk is coming to an end. At the same time, the three-month battle for the Dobropillia salient, a few kilometers north of Pokrovsk, is also coming to an end.
It may not be a coincidence. It’s possible the Russians have fought just hard enough around Dobropillia to tie down Ukrainian reserves who otherwise might have rushed south and reinforced Pokrovsk.
In other words, Russian commanders may have viewed the Dobropillia salient as a “counter-fixation axis for Ukrainian reserves,” according to military theorist Delwin. The tactic—known as a counter-fixation axis—works by threatening a secondary objective to pin down enemy reserves, preventing them from reinforcing the primary target. The Russians may have committed just enough forces to the salient battle, primarily from a quintet of marine brigades and regiments, to keep the Ukrainian 1st Azov Corps busy ... and keep it out of Pokrovsk.
Delwin’s theory makes some sense, and could serve as a warning for Ukrainian commanders as the Ukrainian garrisons retreat from Pokrovsk and neighboring Myrnohrad and the campaign for Donetsk Oblast enters a new phase. That warning is simple: expect deception and diversion.
When the Russian 132nd Motor Rifle Brigade discovered gaps in the undermanned Ukrainian line north of Pokrovsk and swiftly marched 15 km toward the village of Dobropillia back in early August, they initially aimed to gain fire control over the village—and pummel it with drones and artillery.
And for good reason: one of the two main supply lines into Pokrovsk threaded through Dobropillia. Severing that supply line could’ve accelerated the starvation of the two Ukrainian brigades in the Pokrovsk garrison.
But the Ukrainians reacted swiftly, deploying the 1st Azov Corps and several of its well-equipped brigades. The Ukrainians squeezed the 40-square-kilometer salient from both sides, forcing the Russians away from Dobropillia proper and surrounding them in at least two groups, including one in the village of Kucheriv Yar.
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian 225th Assault Regiment and 33rd Mechanized Brigade established a strong defense in the village of Shakhove, which anchored the southeastern corner of the salient. The defenders of Shakhove rebuffed repeated Russian mechanized assaults, preventing heavy Russian reinforcements from entering the salient.



