Trench Art

Trench Art

Russia May Have Launched 2 Oreshniks At A Time. Seems 1 Failed, 1 Missed.

The $30-million missile is unreliable and inaccurate.

May 25, 2026
∙ Paid

Russia apparently fired two Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missiles at Ukraine on Saturday night, not one.

One of the 40-ton missiles seems to have failed mid-flight—and crashed on Russian-occupied Ukraine. The other dropped its 36 non-explosive submunitions on Bila Tserkva, 40 miles south of Kyiv—and blew up a few garages.

Maybe the Oreshnik that hit Bila Tserkva was aiming for the air base just outside of town. There’s also a chance the Oreshnik was supposed to hit Kyiv, and simply missed by a wide margin.

In other words, it’s possible two Oreshniks missed on Saturday. If so, it’s a damning indictment of the missile’s effectiveness in a non-nuclear role. It may be unreliable and inaccurate.

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